A New Global Reality: Recalibrating the International Order

Fundamental realignment or temporary disruption?

October 2, 2025 (London) / October 3, 2025 (Geneva)

83%
of USAID programs terminated
26 million
lives saved by PEPFAR
40%
expected job cuts at WHO

It hasn't even been a year. But since the new administration in Washington took office January, it has fundamentally changed America's role on the world stage. The shift represents more than just a change in leadership—it signals a potential transformation in how the world's most powerful nation engages with allies, adversaries, and global institutions.

In less than 9 months, trade agreements have been renegotiated or abandoned entirely. Long-standing military commitments are being questioned, with allies pressed to shoulder greater financial burdens for their own defense. Multilateral institutions face reduced American participation and funding. Climate agreements have been deprioritized in favor of domestic energy production.

Early results are already visible across the global landscape. European leaders are accelerating discussions about "strategic autonomy" and reduced dependence on American security guarantees. China has stepped into diplomatic vacuums left by American withdrawal from certain international forums. Traditional allies are hedging their bets, building new partnerships while maintaining ties to Washington. Emerging economies are recalibrating their strategies as global trade patterns shift.

These changes are creating new instabilities. Longtime allies express private concerns about American reliability. International institutions face funding shortfalls and reduced effectiveness. Trade disruptions are creating economic uncertainty in interconnected markets. Some analysts warn that American withdrawal from global leadership could create dangerous power vacuums.

But might this also be a necessary correction? The argument goes: "the world's policeman" has been overextended globally and other nations must take greater responsibility for their own security and prosperity. A more focused American approach might ultimately strengthen rather than weaken the international system.

Faced with this fundamental realignment of global power, do national and civic-leaders look inward to strengthen their own capacity or look abroad to build new bridges of cooperation with neighbors and allies? What are the long-term implications for international stability and cooperation? Where do you stand on this shift, and what evidence might change your perspective?

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